HONG KONG: Major regional publications are bracing themselves for
more bad news after Competitive Media Reporting (CMR) reported a five
per cent adspend drop for the first half of the year.
Adspend for the January to June period totalled US$159.6 million,
down from 2000's bumper revenue of $168.4 million. Global
economic uncertainties have been blamed for the decline. Regional titles
believe the situation will worsen before it improves.
Forbes Global Asia vice-president and managing director, Will
Adamopoulos, said: "Quarter one was alright for the industry. Quarter
two was slowing and quarter three is looking worse. For the year, I
would say we would be down seven or eight per cent, meaning that we
would have dropped about 10 per cent in the second half."
The actual revenue earned by the big regional newspapers and magazines
could be be lower than what has been reported for the first six months
because CMR cannot take discounts into account.
However, a number of publishers insisted that CMR figures were not
wildly off the market because they had resisted discounting. Newsweek
International's regional advertising director, Theresa Yeung, said:
"What we are all careful of is avoiding a price war. We'd rather offer
more creative packages to clients. The idea is to work harder and
smarter."
Christina Chan, Business Week's regional director for Hong Kong, Taiwan
and the Philippines, added, "I don't see big discounting going on. But
clearly such a step would only be a temporary solution."
The publications are expecting that revenues will return to an even keel
by mid-2002. But some, like Newsweek's Yeung are hopeful of an earlier
recovery.
"Part of me believes the fourth quarter will bounce back nicely. Another
part is not so optimistic because the general sentiments are not getting
better," she said.
ADVERTISING REVENUE REPORT (USdollars)
2001 first-half 2000 first-half YOY (%)
National Geographic 2,513,858 1,551,400 62.0
Fortune China 2,888,398 1,868,591 54.6
Reader's Digest Asia 5,964,986 3,919,011 52.2
Forbes Global 2,193,484 1,583,363 38.5
International Herald Trib 10,057,207 9,936,375 1.2
Time Asia 23,531,995 23,300,707 1.0
Newsweek Asia 16,268,226 16,291,567 -0.1
Far East Economic Review 7,829,194 8,033,605 -2.5
Financial Times 4,242,990 4,498,705 -5.7
The Economist 7,045,300 7,680,400 -8.3
Source: CMR.