ANALYSIS: Rankings - Recma vows to end annual row. Recma promises more checks and balances in next year's rankings, as Alfred Hille reports

<p>The row over the Recma Institute's annual media agency rankings </p><p>appears to have become something of a summer rite in Asia, but the </p><p>fracas does highlight the pressing need to overhaul the way league </p><p>tables are compiled. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Media agencies have taken aim at Recma, claiming the Paris-based </p><p>organisation only asks for billings and then changes them </p><p>arbitrarily. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Recma says it is aware of the problems and made minor improvements when </p><p>it compiled the 2000 rankings. The bulk of the improvements, it says, </p><p>will be felt next year. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>This year, for the first time, Recma asked for income figures from </p><p>agency head offices for the 2000 rankings. The request apparently fell </p><p>on deaf ears. "Very few were willing" to provide the data, according to </p><p>Stephanie Cooper, Recma international sales manager. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>However, Recma's chief editor Eudes Delafon said he would try to match </p><p>figures submitted by agencies with ACNielsen numbers to significantly </p><p>improve accuracy for the next round of rankings. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Recma has been using ACNielsen data for several years in Europe, and </p><p>extended the partnership to the US for the first time this year. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>"This year, we weren't able to use ACNielsen figures in Asia because we </p><p>ran out of time but we will do so next year. I also think that agencies </p><p>will eventually give us income figures at least for the major markets," </p><p>says Delafon. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>"Five years ago in France, for example, very few agencies were willing </p><p>to give us income figures, but today they all do because they will be </p><p>perceived as hiding something if they don't. It's a slow process so </p><p>improvements will take time." </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Corroborating income data with third party figures should go some way to </p><p>reducing the margin of error. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Says Cooper: "Billings remain a highly unreliable indicator but until a </p><p>more accurate one is found, they must be our basis, for what they are </p><p>worth. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>"Where a network's declared billings are inconsistent, either with </p><p>previous declarations or with their networks or the market </p><p>staff/billings ratio, Recma occasionally makes an estimate," she </p><p>adds. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>French agencies may have come around to the idea of revealing their </p><p>income figures, but it's going to require immense persuasion to spark a </p><p>change in Asia. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Delafon has a theory to explain this reluctance: "The revenue of media </p><p>buying and planning agencies is about two to four per cent of their </p><p>total billings. Advertising agencies, by comparison, are generating a </p><p>revenue of 10 to 12 per cent of the total marketing communications </p><p>budget. Given these figures, perhaps the media agencies are ashamed to </p><p>show their rate of return." </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Another point to consider is that dependent agencies don't want to </p><p>reveal the income split with their creative agencies. "They don't want </p><p>their inner workings to become public knowledge," an industry observer </p><p>comments. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>OMD Asia chief executive officer Mike Cooper believes the quality of </p><p>Recma's rankings in Asia could be improved if it used ACNielsen Adex </p><p>figures for corroboration. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>"Of course, Adex doesn't take into account discounts, but it should give </p><p>a good indication of the accuracy of figures being submitted," he </p><p>argues. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>A contentious point of this year's rankings is Zenith Asia's 169 per </p><p>cent billings boost, which was recorded despite the loss of the massive </p><p>Procter & Gamble media buying account. Starcom snagged the account, </p><p>which was estimated to be worth US$160 million. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Zenith Asia chief executive Antony Young explains that this is because </p><p>the agency's 1999 billings were understated, which resulted in a triple </p><p>digit year-on-year growth rate. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Recma's Cooper puts this down to a "network error in the declaration for </p><p>1999", which she claims was subsequently rectified in co-operation with </p><p>Zenith. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>However, MindShare China chief executive Chris Walton expressed </p><p>incredulity at the process. "Recma asks us for figures - unaudited </p><p>figures - but when the numbers are published, they are different to what </p><p>has been given to them. I don't understand how they arrived at their </p><p>figures." </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>By way of explaining the discrepancies, Recma's Cooper says: "Recma </p><p>defines billings as the annualised value of media purchased on behalf of </p><p>clients before agency discounts. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>"Our questionnaire requests net billings, however, the figures provided </p><p>by the networks are sometimes not consistent with former declarations </p><p>and with figures for staff increase." </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>While Zenith might be satisfied with the latest rankings - and it should </p><p>be having taken pole position - its rivals charge that the rankings will </p><p>not present the region in a true and fair light. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Universal McCann and MindShare are both puzzled over the exclusion of </p><p>two sizeable markets - Japan and India - in the final Asia-Pacific </p><p>count. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Both agencies claim that the inclusion of the two countries would have </p><p>significantly improved their position. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>MindShare insists that it would have retained its top ranking with the </p><p>addition of hundreds of millions of dollars to its Asia-Pacific </p><p>tally. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Universal McCann executive vice-president and regional director, Allan </p><p>Medforth, adds: "The exclusion of Japan and India gives figures for us </p><p>and our competitors which bear no resemblance to what we think is </p><p>happening in this part of the world." </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Recma says it excluded both markets in the interest of accuracy and </p><p>fairness because the buying power of the unbundled multinational media </p><p>agencies is weak or still in its infancy there. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Another problem Recma will need to resolve is the double counting issue, </p><p>according to Carat Asia-Pacific chief executive David Liu. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>"One agency does the planning but claims the buying part, while the </p><p>buying agency also claims the buying part. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>"It can be argued that both have a right to claim the buying part, but </p><p>the latter more than the former. However, there aren't any procedures to </p><p>resolve this and the figures could reveal a market that is double what </p><p>it really is," says Liu. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>The arguments and counter arguments have been lobbed and the impetus to </p><p>change in the interests of accuracy and accountability is clearly in </p><p>Recma's interest. </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>Says OMD's Cooper: "If there is no accountability or transparency, the </p><p>whole Recma exercise will just be a sheet of paper you fill in with </p><p>whatever number you want." </p><p><BR><BR> </p><p>HOW AGENCIES MEASURE UP IN ASIA-PACIFIC (billings, usdollars m) </p><p>Rank Networks Total Australia New SE </p><p> (Owner Groups) Region Zealand Asia </p><p>1 Zenith Media (Cordiant) 1,782 660 - 313 </p><p>2 MindShare (WPP) 1,730 225 - 550 </p><p>3 Starcom MediaVest SMG (Bcom3) 1,504 500 - 323 </p><p>4 OMD (Omnicom) 1,470 510 - 415 </p><p>5 The Media Edge (WPP) 1,156 410 45 418 </p><p>6 Initiative Media (Interpublic) 1,110 700 - 410 </p><p>7 Universal McCann (Interpublic) 957 208 20 320 </p><p>8 Carat (Aegis) 554 138 30 108 </p><p>9 Optimedia (Publicis) 433 246 24 163 </p><p>10 MediaCom (Grey) 312 125 15 97 </p><p>11 CIA (Tempus) 213 - - 100 </p><p>12 Media Planning Group (Havas) 135 - - 42 </p><p>Rank Networks Hong China Taiwan South </p><p> (Owner Groups) Kong Korea </p><p>1 Zenith Media (Cordiant) 273 464 72 - </p><p>2 MindShare (WPP) 220 447 258 - </p><p>3 Starcom MediaVest SMG (Bcom3) 117 299 158 107 </p><p>4 OMD (Omnicom) 244 165 72 6 </p><p>5 The Media Edge (WPP) 43 138 71 31 </p><p>6 Initiative Media (Interpublic) - - - - </p><p>7 Universal McCann (Interpublic) 72 169 72 96 </p><p>8 Carat (Aegis) 52 123 103 - </p><p>9 Optimedia (Publicis) - - - - </p><p>10 MediaCom (Grey) 25 50 - - </p><p>11 CIA (Tempus) 65 - 48 - </p><p>12 Media Planning Group (Havas) 35 58 - - </p><p>Source: Recma June 2001. </p><p><BR><BR> </p>